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Bolivia
Following its independence from Spanish control in 1825, Bolivia has
experienced roughly 200 coups and countercoups. While a democratic
civilian regime was created in 1982, leaders have had to confront
problems of social unrest, illegal drug production and poverty. In
2005, pledging to give power to the poor in the country, who compose
the majority, Evo MORALES of Movement Toward Socialism became
president. But, policies pursued by MORALES have instead aggravated
racial and economic conflict between the Amerindians of the Andean
west and the non-indigenous of the eastern lowlands.
Capital City: La Paz (-4 GMT)
Chief of State: President Juan Evo MORALES Ayma
Head of Govt.: President Juan Evo MORALES Ayma
Currency: Boliviano
Main Cities: Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, El Alto
Major Languages: Spanish, Quechua, Aymara
Calling Code: 591
Voltage: 110/220V
Stock Exchanges: Bolsa Boliviana
Primary Religions: Roman Catholic
Main Airports
La Paz (LPB), Santa Cruz (VVI)
U.S. Embassy
Avenida Arce #2780 La Paz, Bolivia
tel. 591-2-2168000
Statistics
- GDP: purchasing power parity:
- $25.95 billion (2005 est.)
- GDP - real growth rate:
- 4% (2005 est.)
- GDP - per capita: purchasing power parity:
- 2,900 (2005 est.)
- Inflation rate (consumer prices):
- 5.4% (2005 est.)
- Labor force:
- 4.22 million (2005 est.)
- Exports:
- $2.371 billion f.o.b. (2005 est.)
- Exports - partners:
- Brazil 41.6%, US 14.3%, Argentina 7.7%, Colombia 7%, Peru
5.5% (2005)
- Imports:
- $1.845 billion f.o.b. (2005 est.)
- Imports - partners:
- Brazil 21.9%, Argentina 16.7%, US 13.8%, Chile 6.9%, Peru
6.5%, Japan 6.1%, China 5.8% (2005)
- Population:
- 8,989,046 (July 2006 est.)
- Population growth rate:
- 1.45% (2006 est.)
- Population Below Poverty Line:
- 64% (2004 est.)
- Major Industries:
- mining, smelting, petroleum, food and beverages, tobacco,
handicrafts, clothing
- Employing Workers: 174*
- Registering Property: 115*
- Enforcing Contracts: 98*
- Closing a Business: 53*
- *2006 World Bank rank out of 175 countries
- Starting a Business
The table below shows the number of steps and the amount of
time needed to start a business, on average
| Indicator |
Bolivia |
Region |
| Procedures (number) |
15 |
10.2 |
| Time (days) |
50 |
73.3 |
Bolivia Risk Assessment
Country Rating
Rating: D
A high-risk
political and economic situation and an often very difficult
business environment can have a very significant impact on corporate
payment behaviour. Corporate default probability is very high.
Risk Assessment
After an economic slowdown in 2007
attributable to bad weather conditions for farm production and
bottlenecks in the hydrocarbon and mining sectors, the economy
should only manage weak growth in 2008. Domestic demand will be the
main economic engine, underpinned by household consumption, an
investment recovery, and expansionary fiscal policy. The strong
inflation of 2007, stoked by the disruptive effects of the floods
and by high world grain prices, should ease only slightly this year.
After the gas sector nationalisation
late 2006, the government is now planning to nationalise the mines
and telecommunications. Without foreign assistance, however, Bolivia
could experience difficulties with management. In the export market,
strong demand from its main trading partner Brazil will offset the
United States slowdown. Imports will grow, meanwhile, with increased
public spending on infrastructure and the revival of private
investment in hydrocarbons and mining spurring capital goods
purchases abroad. Although running very large external account
surpluses and thus building up large foreign exchange reserves,
Bolivia has remained financially weak even after cancellation of
part of its foreign debt. Relations with international financial
institutions have been strained, affected by the policy options
taken by the government. Further extension beyond February 2008 of
the preferential access of Bolivian products to the US market under
the Andean Trade Promotion and Drug Eradication Act, will depend on
compromises on coca cultivation and investment protection.
At the initiative of the indigenist
president Evo Morales, the Constituent Assembly adopted, end 2007, a
new constitution that notably stipulates autonomy for the Indians
and the possibility of a second presidential term. The
constitutional charter is subject to approval by referendum in 2008,
but in the absence of a consensus, the political and social unrest
could intensify. In this context, there remains a risk of scission
by eastern provinces led by the opposition.
STRENGTHS
- Bolivia is endowed with abundant
hydrocarbon resources, notably the continent's largest gas
reserves after Venezuela's, and substantial mineral and
agricultural wealth.
- The country belongs to the
Andean Community (CAN), its association with Mercosur has
facilitated exports to two large neighbouring countries, Brazil
and Argentina, and it has sought to normalise relations with
another neighbour, Chile.
- Bolivia benefited from
concessional treatment of its foreign debt granted by public
creditors and relief extended by multilateral financial
institutions, under the HIPC and MDRI programmes.
WEAKNESSES
- Bolivia has suffered from its
landlocked position, ethnic and regional cleavages, and social
indicators among the lowest in Latin America.
- Exports rest on a limited number
of commodities (natural gas, oil, zinc, silver, soybeans), with
coca cultivation remaining a major problem.
- The banking sector's extensive
dollarisation continues to be a source of weakness.
- The political, social, and
business climates have been very poor.
- Implementation of President
Morales' radical programme will be unlikely to ease either the
tensions in the country or the risks of separatism in the
eastern plains of Santa Cruz, Tarija, Beni, and Pando, rich in
gas reserves and agricultural resources.
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