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Argentina
Up until about the mid-20th century, much of Argentina's history was
dominated by periods of internal political conflict between
Federalists and Unitarians and between civilian and military
factions. After World War II, an era of Peronist authoritarian rule
and interference in subsequent governments was followed by a
military junta that took power in 1976. Democracy returned in 1983,
and has persisted despite numerous challenges, the most formidable
of which was a severe economic crisis in 2001-02 that led to violent
public protests and the resignation of several interim presidents.
The economy has recovered strongly since bottoming out in 2002. The
government renegotiated its public debt in 2005 and paid off its
remaining obligations to the IMF in early 2006.
Capital City: Buenos Aires (-3 GMT)
Chief of State: President Nestor KIRCHNER
Head of Govt.: President Nestor KIRCHNER
Currency: Argentine peso
Major Languages: Spanish
Calling Code: 54
Voltage: 220V
Stock Exchanges: Buenos Aires Stock Exchange
Primary Religions: Roman Catholic
Main Airports
Ezeiza Ministro Pistarini International Airport (EZE)
U.S. Embassy
4300 Colombia Avenue in the Palermo district of Buenos Aires
(54)(11) 5777-4533/34
Statistics
- GDP: purchasing power parity:
- $518.1 billion (2005 est.)
- GDP - real growth rate:
- 8.7% (2005 est.)
- GDP - per capita: purchasing power parity:
- 13,100 (2005 est.)
- Inflation rate (consumer prices):
- 9.6% (2005 est.)
- Labor force:
- 15.34 million (2005 est.)
- Exports:
- $40 billion f.o.b. (2005 est.)
- Exports - partners:
- Brazil 15.4%, US 10.9%, Chile 10.5%, China 8.4%, Spain 4%
(2005)
- Imports:
- $28.8 billion f.o.b. (2005 est.)
- Imports - partners:
- Brazil 34.7%, US 16.9%, China 5.5%, Germany 5.3% (2005)
- Population:
- 39,921,833 (July 2006 est.)
- Population growth rate:
- 0.96% (2006 est.)
- Population Below Poverty Line:
- 38.5% (June 2005)
- Major Industries:
- food processing, motor vehicles, consumer durables,
textiles, chemicals and petrochemicals, printing, metallurgy,
steel
- Employing Workers: 138*
- Registering Property: 74*
- Enforcing Contracts: 68*
- Closing a Business: 58*
- *2006 World Bank rank out of 175 countries
- Starting a Business
The table below shows the number of steps and the amount of
time needed to start a business, on average
| Indicator |
Argentina |
Region |
| Procedures (number) |
15 |
10.2 |
| Time (days) |
32 |
73.3 |
Argentina Risk Assessment
Country Rating
Rating: C
A very uncertain
political and economic outlook and a business environment with many
troublesome weaknesses can have a significant impact on corporate
payment behaviour. Corporate default probability is high.
Risk Assessment
The repercussions of the 2007
international financial turmoil on the real economy should remain
limited. Growth will be more moderate in 2008 although still driven
by domestic demand spurred by still relatively accommodating
economic policy. Still benefiting from strong world demand for
commodities and from an undervalued peso, exports should allow
Argentina to run a current account surplus again and substantially
increase foreign exchange reserves.
With foreign debt declining after its
partial cancellation in 2005 and early IMF repayment in 2006, the
relevant ratios should continue to improve. Argentina will, however,
have to normalise its relations with foreign creditors, which could
happen in the wake of Cristina Kirchner's election as president in
October 2007.
Although a fiscal surplus is also
expected in 2008, lasting improvement in public finances will depend
on adoption of truly tight fiscal policy that the new administration
could decide to implement gradually.
The disquieting increase in inflation
despite price controls and index adjustments reflects economic
overheating and bottlenecks. Argentina has particularly suffered
from a lack of investment, especially in the energy and transport
sectors, undermined by a shaky business environment and
interventionist economic policy.
That context notwithstanding, the
financial health of private companies has continued to improve,
particularly in the car industry, construction, communications, and
tourism, as well as in an agricultural sector buoyed by a record
harvest. The shakiest sectors include food, due to price control and
export restrictions, oil refining, due to insufficient investment,
utilities (water, electricity, gas, transportation) because of
regulated prices, and tobacco, which is suffering from a drop in
demand. In total, the Coface payment experience on private companies
has been relatively satisfactory.
STRENGTHS
- Endowed with abundant natural,
energy, mineral and agricultural resources, Argentina has
benefited from the strong world demand and high prices for raw
materials.
- The undervalued local currency
has benefited domestic production and export competitiveness.
- The country's education level
and human development indicators have been substantially above
the Latin American average.
- The work force is skilled and
adaptable.
WEAKNESSES
- The economy continues to be
partially dependent on raw materials and to suffer from
insufficient investment particularly in the energy sector and
infrastructure.
- Despite the restructuring of its
bond debt on favourable terms in June 2005 and early IMF
repayment in January 2006 foreign debt is still high.
- Sustained improvement in public
finances will depend on implementation of genuinely tight fiscal
policy.
- Good performance by the economy
will require an improved business environment and a steadier
legal framework.
- Substantial inequality and
social tensions have persisted.
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